The projections come as curators are reporting a successful hatching season unfolding at breeding centers in California and elsewhere.
"At the end of the breeding season, we should be at 400 if all goes to projection," said Michael Mace, curator of birds at the San Diego Zoo Safari Park. "At the end of this year, we could have 200 birds in the wild. Both would be significant milestones."
The 400 mark hasn't been seen since the 1920s or 1930s, Mace said. Right now, the condor population is 394, including 181 in the wild -- a marked improvement since 1987 when the condor was wiped out in the wild and only 27 lived at the San Diego Zoo, he said.
Status of wolf populations debated
The success hasn't been without new challenges.
The nearly 200 birds in the wilderness are returning to feeding activities that were last seen during the Lewis and Clark Expedition of the early 1800s. But that also means the condor is now ingesting the toxin DDE when eating marine carcasses, Mace said.
The toxin causes the shell of condor eggs to thin, so conservationists are replacing the thin-shelled eggs laid in the wild with thicker-shelled eggs from breeding centers, Mace said. The thin-shelled eggs are taken to incubators in breeding facilities for hatching, he said.
"Condors are doing what they normally do: They feed on marine animal carcasses," Mace said. "We are excited that condors are doing activities that Lewis and Clark observed more than 100 years ago. But it turns out these marine animals are feeding on DDE, and now the condors are feeding on them, and the shells of their eggs are thin and break."
Brown pelican long a symbol of survival
DDE is formed when the pesticide DDT breaks down. DDT is banned in the United States, but enters the environment through its use in other countries.
"Some of these factors we're dealing with right now weren't factors five, 10 years ago," Mace said.
For example, California condors are now being vaccinated for the West Nile virus, Mace said.
The California condor lives only in the isolated areas of California, Arizona and Baja California, Mexico, where mankind reintroduced them after they were effectively eradicated from the wilderness, according to Mace.
They weigh up to 29 pounds, have a wingspan reaching up to 9½ feet and live up to 60 years. Their habitat is wooded mountains and scrub lands, according to the San Diego Zoo.
For all the worldwide attention they enjoy, the condor's feeding habit is among the most inelegant: They are vultures that feed on carrion, large and small. They will eat big animals -- deer, cattle, sheep. And they will eat small animals -- rodents, rabbits and fish. The carrion has sometimes been killed by a hunter's gunshot. The lead from the buckshot can also poison the condor, Mace said.
The condors gorge themselves on two to three pounds of carrion at a time and can fast for several days until they find another carcass.
The ignominious status of scavenger aside, the condor still holds the high stature of flagship species, which the polar bear also enjoys.
In their ecosystem, the California condor is part of Mother Nature's cleanup crew, feeding on dead animals to prevent them from spreading disease to other wildlife and plants.
Because the condor is thriving in parts of California, Arizona and Mexico, about 50 other endangered animals and plants are able to thrive -- thanks to the condor, Mace said.
Four breeding centers are hatching condor eggs: the San Diego Zoo, the zoo's Safari Park, the Oregon Zoo in Portland, and the World Center for Birds of Prey in Boise, Idaho, Mace said.
The hatching season runs from March until May, he said.
"This is the peak season for us," Mace said.
The warmer weather in Oregon has led to a banner year for condor eggs at Oregon Zoo, with a total of nine chicks so far, the most since the zoo began participating in the condor conservation effort in 2004, said Kelli Walker, a condor keeper at the zoo's Jonnson Center for Wildlife Conservation.
She also credited the growing maturity of the zoo's condors.
"It sounds silly, but we had some really nice weather," Walker said. "This year, we had some of the first eggs because they bred earlier.
"Oregon is having the biggest year we have ever had," she added. "We got eight eggs in eight days."
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